WARNING: This article contains two models, PMP70 & EMCAPS, for determining the casualty rate for different pathogens, radiological, chemical, and nuclear events. You have the opportunity to download these onto your computer and look at what the social engineer’s and scientists are looking at as they plan their mass casualty event.

It’s August and Agencies are presenting their super models for what promises to be a spectacular fall on the disaster runway. This season has been long anticipated by government and the public-at-large. Last August trendy plans were leaked at all levels of government from local to international as a lead up to this year’s fashionable mass casualty season. In years past, modeling was not considered feasible by agencies due to technological and cost limitations, but those have been perfected allowing the mass casualty model profession to become effective and socially acceptable, even gaining popularity being considered politically correct.

Model types are evolving utilizing the most sophisticated technologies available. The USDA has contracted with the world’s most prominent mass-casualty designer’s to develop supermodels for an incredible amount of money. These mass casualty supermodels are the cover girls of well established and recognized peer journals specializing in catastrophes across sphere. No longer are drab and older primitive models being used much to the delight of governmental agencies who desire to bring quality models to the community that will bring smiles and enlighten the mood of international policy makers around the globe.

The trend towards mass-casualty supermodels will continue with their apparent growing popularity within and in-between agencies. These elite super models are becoming the prominent industry standard. There appears to be greater opportunity for the mass-casualty super-model industry to escalate as the world plummets into global governance, establishing fear-based policy. For example, there has been a dramatic increase in the number of higher education universities and laboratories engaging in pathogenic mass casualty modeling due to the Public Private Partnerships (PPP) that have gone global. This trend has resulted in many designers’ requiring industry super models to appear in their sector to justify their share of appropriations and funding for integrated government-industry projects promoting fear and offering solutions.

With modeling being in high demand the expertise of super modeling is a necessity, often being developed by international actors who are also the highest paid in the business.

In the 21st Century one does not need to be a slim and cost-effective model because creativity is the key word for this year’s mass-casualty model season. For instance, if you have an exceptional model component it is possible to highlight that distinguishing feature to the amazement of the social engineers driving the mass casualty modeling this final season.

As the plans were leaked last summer we feel that we can afford to provide you a glimpse of the two truly astonishing super models that have hit the high fashion runways this summer. The following includes the technicalities of these two super models of the mass casualty trade. We first highlight the USDA PMP70 supermodel for determining mass casualties from pathogens. The USDA is proud of its stand-alone model and also of its excellent Excel model. Their spreadsheets are really remarkable. After reviewing this super model you will want to own it for yourself to help you project disaster fatalities in your community or city.

The USDA PMP70

Pathogen Modeling Program

Getting Started In Your Supermodel Career

The US Department of Agriculture-Agricultural Research Service (USDA-ARS) Pathogen Modeling Program (PMP) is produced at the USDA-ARS Eastern Regional Research Center (ERRC) in Wyndmoor, Pennsylvania. The PMP is a package of models that can be used to predict the growth and inactivation of food borne bacteria, primarily pathogens, under various environmental conditions. These predictions are specific to certain bacterial strains and specific environments (e.g., culture media, food, etc.) that were used to generate the models. The accuracy of these predictions cannot be guaranteed for other bacterial strains and/or environments, without proper validation studies. Since the early 1990s, the PMP has been distributed in various forms, ranging from spreadsheets to stand-alone software. The most current version is 7.0. New versions of the PMP are produced with the addition of new models and/or changes in the model-user interface. We recommend that you bookmark this webpage and revisit it on a periodic basis to find out about new models and PMP enhancements. In an effort to more efficiently provide new models to our customers, we will post them as Excel® workbooks and then incorporate them into a new version of the PMP at a later date. We believe this process will expedite the use of models for food industries, risk assessors and managers, as well as scientists and students at academic institutions. Continue reading →